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Merced County, CA: population growth, jobs and income

Merced County gained 453 residents between 2024 and 2025 (+0.2%).

Merced County had an estimated 297,260 residents in 2025, up 5.1% (14,365 more people) since 2020. That is faster than California as a whole (−0.4%), and the 6th fastest growth of 58 counties in California.

Data as of 2025 · updated

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In the Merced County report

One-time $99 PDF: everything on this page for Merced County, ranked against California and the U.S., plus these figures that are not on the free page:

  • Median gross rent$1,343/mo2020–24
  • Vacant homes, incl. seasonal and second homes5.3%2020–24
  • New homes permitted, last 12 months4672025-10/2026-09
  • Rent growth, 5 yearsIn the report
  • Permits in 5+ unit buildingsIn the report
  • IRS income moving in (net AGI)In the report
  • Neighbouring-county comparison tableIn the report

What's inside: 5 pages

  1. 1 Summary, headline numbers and ranks (free preview)
  2. 2 Ranks and the neighbouring-county table
  3. 3 Migration, with IRS mover and income flows
  4. 4 Rent, vacant homes, permits and employers
  5. 5 Every source and the methods
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Headline numbers

What the numbers say

Net domestic migration was negative in 2025: 1,310 more people moved out to other U.S. counties than moved in.

Private employers had 49,545 paid employees in mid-March 2023, +7.6% since 2018 (County Business Patterns).

Unemployment averaged 10.2% in 2025, 2.0 points higher than in 2019 (before the pandemic).

Builders were authorized to start 780 new homes in 2025, or 2.6 per 1,000 residents.

Median household income was $65,510 in the 2020–24 American Community Survey, +16.3% since 2016–20.

Across the 3,107 U.S. counties with a comparable estimate, its population growth ranks 603rd.

Part of the Merced, CA metro area.

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Merced County population by year

Resident population, July 1 estimate (Census Bureau)
YearPopulationChange
2025297,260+453
2024296,807+2,488
2023294,319+2,538
2022291,781+3,927
2021287,854+4,959
2020282,895–

Census Bureau population estimates, July 1 of each year.

What drove the change in Merced County

Merced County grew by 14,365 people since 2020; the largest part came from natural change (+7,910).

Components of population change, people (Census Bureau)
Component20252020–25Share
Natural changebirths minus deaths+1,591+7,910
International migrationfrom and to other countries+145+4,540
Domestic migrationfrom and to other U.S. counties−1,310+1,932
Census adjustmentbalancing residual+27−17
Total change+453+14,365

Census Bureau population estimates, components of change, each year July 1 to June 30. The components add up to the change in the estimate; the Census adjustment is the small balancing figure the Bureau publishes.

How it ranks

MeasureIn CaliforniaAmong U.S. counties
Population growth6th of 58603rd of 3,107
Net domestic migration per 1,000 residents33rd of 582,496th of 3,108
Private-sector job growth26th of 58925th of 3,092
Median household income50th of 581,572nd of 3,107
Lowest unemployment rate55th of 583,096th of 3,108
New homes permitted per 1,000 residents24th of 581,263rd of 3,005

1st = highest (lowest for unemployment). Counties are ranked only against others with a figure for the same period.

Get the county report — $99

The County Growth and Demographics Report for Merced County, CA as a PDF, from federal data: population and migration, housing and rents, permits, private employers and jobs, unemployment, ranks in the state and the country, and neighbouring counties, with a source next to every number. Pay once, no subscription.

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Neighbouring counties

Over 2020–25, Merced County's population change (+5.1%) was ahead of 4 of its 6 neighbouring counties and behind 2 (San Benito County and Madera County).

Its median household income ($65,510, 2020–24) is lower than in all 6 of its neighbouring counties.

Merced County, CA and its 6 neighbouring counties: public federal figures
CountyPopulation2025Population change2020–25Net domestic migration per 1,000 residents2025Homes permitted per 1,000 residents2025Median household income2020–24
Merced County, CA This county297,260+5.1%−4.42.6$65,510
Stanislaus County, CA557,719+0.7%−4.32.2$81,468
San Benito County, CA70,082+8.6%9.73.5$114,394
Mariposa County, CA16,918−1.2%0.41.3$68,412
Madera County, CA167,927+7.4%5.17.4$76,627
Fresno County, CA1,035,456+2.6%−4.42.2$74,201
Santa Clara County, CA1,914,391−0.9%−10.32.8$164,281

Census Bureau population estimates and building permits, American Community Survey 5-year income. Rates per 1,000 residents. – means no figure, or a base too small for a change or rate (it would swing on a few people). A figure from another period shows its year and is left out of the comparison.

All 58 California counties · Every state

Questions

Is Merced County growing?

Yes. Its population grew 5.1% between 2020 and 2025, about 14,365 more people (Census Bureau population estimates). California as a whole changed −0.4% over the same years. That ranks 6th of 58 counties in California for population growth.

How many people moved to Merced County?

On net, none in 2025: about 1,310 more people moved out to other U.S. counties than moved in (Census Bureau net domestic migration estimate).

What is the unemployment rate in Merced County?

It averaged 10.2% in 2025 (BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics, annual average).

What is the population of Merced County?

About 297,260 people, according to the U.S. Census Bureau's population estimate for July 1, 2025.

How many jobs are in Merced County?

Private employers there had 49,545 paid employees in mid-March 2023, +7.6% since 2018 (Census Bureau County Business Patterns; government jobs and the self-employed are not counted).

What Beacon CRE covers in California

Map, parcel and listing layers cover North and South Carolina only for now. This page and the other California county pages carry the public federal growth figures.

Merced County data alerts

Email me when Merced County gets new Census numbers: population, building permits, jobs and income. About 4 emails a year, one click to stop.

We use your address only to email you when new data for Merced County is out: what changed, with a link to that county's report. No newsletter, no other sales emails. Delete it any time with the link in every email. We'll email you a link to confirm first; nothing starts until you click it. Privacy notice.

Sources and method

Each number shows its own period. Changes compare the latest period with five years earlier (or the earliest period available). Beacon CRE last refreshed these figures on 2026-11-05. Figures come from public federal statistics and are informational only, not investment advice. Check the source before relying on a number. Methodology: how we compute every number. More on every layer: data sources and licences.

Jobs outside North and South Carolina use County Business Patterns (paid private-sector employees in mid-March); wages and government jobs are not included.