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Carter County, MT: population growth, jobs and income

Carter County lost 39 residents between 2024 and 2025 (−2.7%).

Carter County had an estimated 1,383 residents in 2025, down 1.6% (23 fewer people) since 2020. That is slower than Montana as a whole (+5.3%), and the 42nd fastest growth of 52 counties in Montana.

Data as of 2025 · updated

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In the Carter County report

One-time $99 PDF: everything on this page for Carter County, ranked against Montana and the U.S., plus these figures that are not on the free page:

  • Median gross rent$824/mo2020–24
  • Vacant homes, incl. seasonal and second homes27.6%2020–24
  • New homes permitted, last 12 months22025-10/2026-09
  • Rent growth, 5 yearsIn the report
  • Permits in 5+ unit buildingsIn the report
  • IRS income moving in (net AGI)In the report
  • Neighbouring-county comparison tableIn the report

What's inside: 5 pages

  1. 1 Summary, headline numbers and ranks (free preview)
  2. 2 Ranks and the neighbouring-county table
  3. 3 Migration, with IRS mover and income flows
  4. 4 Rent, vacant homes, permits and employers
  5. 5 Every source and the methods
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Headline numbers

What the numbers say

Net domestic migration was negative in 2025: 37 more people moved out to other U.S. counties than moved in.

Private employers had 197 paid employees in mid-March 2023, +58.9% since 2018 (County Business Patterns).

Unemployment averaged 1.9% in 2025, 1.1 points lower than in 2019 (before the pandemic).

Builders were authorized to start 5 new homes in 2025, or 3.6 per 1,000 residents.

Median household income was $54,167 in the 2020–24 American Community Survey, +28.1% since 2016–20.

Across the 3,107 U.S. counties with a comparable estimate, its population growth ranks 2,376th.

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Carter County population by year

Resident population, July 1 estimate (Census Bureau)
YearPopulationChange
20251,383−39
20241,422+13
20231,409+9
20221,400−15
20211,415+9
20201,406–

Census Bureau population estimates, July 1 of each year.

What drove the change in Carter County

Carter County lost 23 people since 2020; the biggest drag was natural change (−11).

Components of population change, people (Census Bureau)
Component20252020–25Share
Natural changebirths minus deaths−2−11
International migrationfrom and to other countries+0+0
Domestic migrationfrom and to other U.S. counties−37−11
Census adjustmentbalancing residual+0−1
Total change−39−23

Census Bureau population estimates, components of change, each year July 1 to June 30. The components add up to the change in the estimate; the Census adjustment is the small balancing figure the Bureau publishes.

How it ranks

MeasureIn MontanaAmong U.S. counties
Population growth42nd of 522,376th of 3,107
Net domestic migration per 1,000 residents52nd of 523,097th of 3,108
Private-sector job growth2nd of 5210th of 3,092
Median household income44th of 522,495th of 3,107
Lowest unemployment rate1st of 5222nd of 3,108
New homes permitted per 1,000 residents7th of 44936th of 3,005

1st = highest (lowest for unemployment). Counties are ranked only against others with a figure for the same period.

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The County Growth and Demographics Report for Carter County, MT as a PDF, from federal data: population and migration, housing and rents, permits, private employers and jobs, unemployment, ranks in the state and the country, and neighbouring counties, with a source next to every number. Pay once, no subscription.

Add 2 neighbouring counties for $50: the Custer County and Butte County reports too, $149 for all 3.

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Neighbouring counties

Over 2020–25, Carter County's population change (−1.6%) was ahead of 1 of its 6 neighbouring counties and behind 5.

Its median household income ($54,167, 2020–24) is lower than in all 6 of its neighbouring counties.

Carter County, MT and its 6 neighbouring counties: public federal figures
CountyPopulation2025Population change2020–25Net domestic migration per 1,000 residents2025Homes permitted per 1,000 residents2025Median household income2020–24
Carter County, MT This county1,383−1.6%−26.83.6$54,167
Fallon County, MT2,959−2.3%−5.11.4$76,250
Harding County, SD1,331+2.1%8.30.8$80,441
Crook County, WY7,852+9.3%6.02.2$79,637
Powder River County, MT1,781+5.1%9.5–$67,045
Butte County, SD10,856+5.5%−5.18.1$75,652
Custer County, MT12,034+1.5%4.10.3$70,605

Census Bureau population estimates and building permits, American Community Survey 5-year income. Rates per 1,000 residents. – means no figure, or a base too small for a change or rate (it would swing on a few people). A figure from another period shows its year and is left out of the comparison.

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Questions

Is Carter County growing?

No. Its population fell 1.6% between 2020 and 2025, about 23 fewer people (Census Bureau population estimates). Montana as a whole changed +5.3% over the same years. That ranks 42nd of 52 counties in Montana for population growth.

How many people moved to Carter County?

On net, none in 2025: about 37 more people moved out to other U.S. counties than moved in (Census Bureau net domestic migration estimate).

What is the unemployment rate in Carter County?

It averaged 1.9% in 2025 (BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics, annual average).

What is the population of Carter County?

About 1,383 people, according to the U.S. Census Bureau's population estimate for July 1, 2025.

How many jobs are in Carter County?

Private employers there had 197 paid employees in mid-March 2023, +58.9% since 2018 (Census Bureau County Business Patterns; government jobs and the self-employed are not counted).

What Beacon CRE covers in Montana

Map, parcel and listing layers cover North and South Carolina only for now. This page and the other Montana county pages carry the public federal growth figures.

Carter County data alerts

Email me when Carter County gets new Census numbers: population, building permits, jobs and income. About 4 emails a year, one click to stop.

We use your address only to email you when new data for Carter County is out: what changed, with a link to that county's report. No newsletter, no other sales emails. Delete it any time with the link in every email. We'll email you a link to confirm first; nothing starts until you click it. Privacy notice.

Sources and method

Each number shows its own period. Changes compare the latest period with five years earlier (or the earliest period available). Beacon CRE last refreshed these figures on 2026-11-05. Figures come from public federal statistics and are informational only, not investment advice. Check the source before relying on a number. Methodology: how we compute every number. More on every layer: data sources and licences.

Jobs outside North and South Carolina use County Business Patterns (paid private-sector employees in mid-March); wages and government jobs are not included.